I made the following assumptions when making my back-of-the envelope calculations:
- Three average speeds of high-speed trains (HSPs) were calculated: 100mph, 150mph, and 200mph. This allows for possible stops on the way.
- The train travel distance is the same as a driving distance. Driving distances were measured using Google Maps. This assumption does not always hold, but I do not know of any railroad distance measurements.
- All flights are non-stop direct flights (i.e., no layovers or transfers).
- Flight times were estimated by looking at flight times of actual flights using Orbitz.com.
- Travel times to and from terminals were consistent estimates (1 hour for trains, 2 hours for airplanes).
- The requirement to arrive early at the terminal remained consistent across estimates (1 hour for trains, 2 hours for airplanes).
- The requirement of staying at the terminal for baggage pick-up remained consistent across estimates (0 hours for trains, 1 hour for airplanes).
Mode | From | To | Distance | Total time |
HSP100 | | | 342 | 5.42 |
HSP150 | | | 342 | 4.28 |
HSP200 | | | 342 | 3.71 |
Plane | | | | 6.50 |
HSP100 | | | 950 | 11.50 |
HSP150 | | | 950 | 8.33 |
HSP200 | | | 950 | 6.75 |
Plane | | | | 8.00 |
HSP100 | | | 1741 | 19.41 |
HSP150 | | | 1741 | 13.61 |
HSP200 | | | 1741 | 10.71 |
Plane | | | | 9.5 |
HSP100 | | | 2801 | 30.01 |
HSP150 | | | 2801 | 20.67 |
HSP200 | | | 2801 | 16.01 |
Plane | | | | 11.50 |
Obviously, the longer the distance of travel, the faster the trip is made by plane in comparison to the train. However, if you add in the time for possible layovers or transfers (anywhere from 1 to 3 hours), airplane travel times (even on longer trips) increase beyond the level of the type of train travel times that you might expect, based on the speeds of the new Spanish trains.
Therefore, it may make more sense - in terms of travel times - to take a fast train, rather than to fly. Add into this the comfort issue (trains have more space than airplanes) and the fuel cost issue (trains use less fuel per passenger), and one may well think that adding in a HSP system to the United States' transportation options may be a good one to make, especially serving those cities that already have railway infrastructure.
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